Sunday, December 12, 2010

Probablity

My cousin could have gone to the function: 50% = 0.5
I could have refused to go to the function: 50% = 0.5
She could have skipped attending the function: 50% = 0.5 (We got introduced at the function!!!)

I traveling the subsequent weekend: 50% = 0.5
She traveling the subsequent weekend: 50% = 0.5
I taking the intercity express = (1 of 2 trains and bus) = 33% = 0.33
She taking the intercity express = (1 of 5 trains) = 20% = 0.20

I being on the same coach as Her = (1 of 10 coaches * 1 of 10 coaches) = 1% = 0.01 (Phew)
I getting down and she getting in at the same instant = (1 second of 10 minutes * 1 second of 10 minutes) = 0.0004% = 0.000004 (Yikes)

I taking courage to go and talk to her: 100% (always on the lookout) = 1

Total probability that we could have met up: 0.000000000082500
So there was a 1 in 1212,12,12,121 (1 in 1212+ crore) chance that we could have met up and still it happened.
Paulo Coelho now I believe in you!

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